Pesqueira vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
69.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
PES
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PES
1 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
PES
0 - 0
BEL
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SED
1 - 0
PES
27%
22%
52%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
PES
1 - 0
SED
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
NAU
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 1
NAU
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 0
SPO
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CEN
3 - 0
NAU
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 2
AME
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |