Pesch vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
13º
10º
41
2º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 73 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 53 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 51 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 49 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 48 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 46 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 40 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 37 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 34 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
65% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 25 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SCF
3 - 1
PES
53%
22%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PES
2 - 3
H05
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PES
4 - 1
USC
74%
15%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 5
PES
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PES
0 - 1
SPF
44%
24%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
WEG
0 - 0
DIE
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
WEG
1 - 0
KON
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TWE
1 - 4
WEG
42%
23%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
BRS
1 - 2
WEG
12%
16%
72%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
WEG
3 - 0
MER
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |