Pesch vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
USC
0 - 2
PES
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
PES
0 - 2
SPV
56%
21%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 1
PES
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
PES
1 - 5
VFL
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
BER
0 - 0
PES
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
HIL
2 - 1
SCF
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SCF
0 - 0
TWE
54%
21%
26%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
WEG
2 - 2
SCF
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SCF
2 - 4
MER
22%
22%
56%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SCF
2 - 0
H05
49%
22%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |