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Friendly. Matchday 32

Pesch vs MSV Düsseldorf analysis

Pesch MSV Düsseldorf
15 ELO 54
131% Tilt 191%
8446º General ELO ranking 25606º
306º Country ELO ranking 1221º
ELO win probability
22.2%
Pesch
13.5%
Draw
64.3%
MSV Düsseldorf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
Pesch
2.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.3%
8-5
0.1%
9-6
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.7%
7-5
0.2%
8-6
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
0.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
2.8%
5-4
1.5%
6-5
0.5%
7-6
0.1%
8-7
<0%
+1
10%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
0.1%
1-1
1.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
4.2%
4-4
2.8%
5-5
1.2%
6-6
0.4%
7-7
0.1%
8-8
<0%
0
13.5%
64.3%
Win probability
MSV Düsseldorf
4.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
4.3%
4-5
2.3%
5-6
0.9%
6-7
0.2%
7-8
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
4.8%
3-5
3.5%
4-6
1.6%
5-7
0.5%
6-8
0.1%
7-9
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
4%
3-6
2.4%
4-7
0.9%
5-8
0.3%
6-9
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
2.7%
3-7
1.4%
4-8
0.5%
5-9
0.1%
6-10
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
1.6%
3-8
0.7%
4-9
0.2%
5-10
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
1.2%
2-8
0.8%
3-9
0.3%
4-10
0.1%
5-11
0%
-6
3.3%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0.4%
3-10
0.1%
4-11
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0.2%
3-11
0.1%
4-12
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0.1%
2-11
0.1%
3-12
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0%
1-11
0%
2-12
0%
-10
0.1%
0-11
0%
1-12
0%
-11
<0%