Perugia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
19.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
16.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
USC
2 - 2
PRG
47%
29%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 0
USF
55%
29%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
REG
2 - 1
PRG
40%
31%
29%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 1
LAZ
43%
32%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
LEC
0 - 0
PRG
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
SSS
2 - 1
BOL
38%
33%
29%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
SSS
0 - 0
ATL
54%
30%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
COM
2 - 0
SSS
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
SSS
2 - 0
ARZ
47%
29%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
REG
0 - 0
SSS
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |