Perugia vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
WOL
0 - 2
PRG
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
PRG
1 - 0
WOL
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 0
NAN
44%
27%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
NAN
0 - 1
PRG
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
ALL
0 - 2
PRG
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SAL
1 - 1
SIE
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
SIE
4 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 3
SIE
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
SIE
0 - 0
VER
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
VNZ
1 - 3
SIE
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |