Perugia vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
MAN
0 - 1
PRG
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
SPA
2 - 1
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
PRG
0 - 0
COM
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
PRG
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
PRG
3 - 0
FCC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 0
SPA
43%
30%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LEC
66%
23%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
LEC
47%
31%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
LEC
1 - 1
CES
43%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASS
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |