Perugia U19 vs Pescara U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
10º
9º
30
12º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 3
PER
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PER
4 - 2
NAP
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CES
4 - 1
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
SPE
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TER
2 - 1
PER
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Pescara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
CES
7 - 1
PES
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PES
0 - 2
VIR
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SPE
3 - 3
PES
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PES
1 - 2
CCS
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
PES
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |