Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 1
PER
8%
15%
77%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
WES
1 - 2
PER
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PER
3 - 1
MCI
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
PER
0 - 3
SYD
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 2
WES
9%
16%
75%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
WES
1 - 0
BRI
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
WES
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
WES
1 - 2
PER
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
WES
1 - 2
KAA
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -2 |