Perth Glory vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 2
PER
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
PER
3 - 2
MEL
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 0
PER
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
PER
3 - 1
SOU
67%
19%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
BRI
1 - 5
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 2
PER
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
WAD
2 - 1
MAR
37%
25%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
MAR
5 - 1
SYD
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
NCB
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |