Perth Glory vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
12º
13º
33
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PER
0 - 4
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
PER
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
PER
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PER
1 - 3
WUF
41%
24%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
CCM
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 2
MFC
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 0
MFC
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 4
BRI
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
AFC
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 16 | 54 | 0 |