Perth Glory vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
PER
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 4
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PER
2 - 2
GOL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
CCM
2 - 1
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 2
ADE
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
ADE
0 - 2
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
ADE
1 - 0
CCM
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |