Bali United vs Borneo Samarinda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bali United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ARE
3 - 1
PER
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
MIT
70%
18%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SRI
3 - 2
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
PST
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
PER
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Borneo Samarinda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
PUS
1 - 2
PSM
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
PUS
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
PUS
2 - 1
PER
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 2
PUS
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
PUS
0 - 1
PER
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |