ISL Second Stage Round 4

Persipura vs Arema FC analysis

Persipura Arema FC
56 ELO 54
24.5% Tilt -7.9%
3920º General ELO ranking 4676º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
59.2%
Persipura
21.4%
Draw
19.4%
Arema FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
Persipura
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.4%
Win probability
Arema FC
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Persipura
+16%
+6%
Arema FC

ELO progression

Persipura
Arema FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Persipura
Persipura
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2014
ARE
Arema FC
3 - 0
Persipura
PER
57%
23%
21%
55 55 0 0
08 Oct. 2014
SEM
Semen Padang
1 - 0
Persipura
PER
46%
26%
28%
55 55 0 0
04 Oct. 2014
PER
Persipura
2 - 0
Persela
PER
57%
22%
21%
55 55 0 0
30 Sep. 2014
PER
Persipura
0 - 6
Al Qadsia
ALQ
36%
24%
40%
55 63 8 0
16 Sep. 2014
ALQ
Al Qadsia
4 - 2
Persipura
PER
64%
21%
15%
56 62 6 -1

Matches

Arema FC
Arema FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2014
ARE
Arema FC
3 - 0
Persipura
PER
57%
23%
21%
55 55 0 0
08 Oct. 2014
PER
Persela
2 - 2
Arema FC
ARE
51%
25%
24%
55 55 0 0
04 Oct. 2014
ARE
Arema FC
2 - 1
Semen Padang
SEM
58%
22%
20%
55 55 0 0
05 Sep. 2014
PER
Persijap
0 - 8
Arema FC
ARE
48%
26%
26%
55 55 0 0
27 Aug. 2014
PER
Persik Kediri
2 - 2
Arema FC
ARE
54%
24%
22%
55 54 1 0