Pershore Town vs Thornbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pershore Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
SLI
3 - 3
PTC
57%
19%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
WOO
1 - 1
PTC
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RGG
2 - 2
PTC
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
PTC
61%
18%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PTC
1 - 3
HIG
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Thornbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TUF
1 - 1
THO
33%
21%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
THO
1 - 1
WES
34%
22%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WRF
1 - 2
THO
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
HPF
3 - 1
THO
72%
15%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
THO
2 - 1
LON
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |