Liga 1 Indonesia round 6

Persebaya vs Persela analysis

Persebaya Persela
60 ELO 50
3.4% Tilt 17.8%
4335º General ELO ranking 4081º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.4%
Persebaya
21%
Draw
16.5%
Persela

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
Persebaya
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.5%
Win probability
Persela
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Persebaya
+15%
+19%
Persela

ELO progression

Persebaya
Persela
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Persebaya
Persebaya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jun. 2019
MAD
Madura United
2 - 1
Persebaya
PER
42%
23%
36%
61 60 1 0
23 Jun. 2019
PUS
Borneo Samarinda
1 - 2
Persebaya
PER
30%
25%
45%
60 54 6 +1
19 Jun. 2019
PER
Persebaya
1 - 1
Madura United
MAD
44%
25%
32%
60 60 0 0
30 May. 2019
PER
Persebaya
1 - 1
PSIS Semarang
PSI
60%
24%
17%
61 55 6 -1
21 May. 2019
PER
Persebaya
1 - 1
Kalteng Putra
PKP
65%
20%
14%
61 52 9 0

Matches

Persela
Persela
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jun. 2019
BSU
Bhayangkara FC
3 - 1
Persela
PER
64%
20%
16%
52 60 8 0
22 Jun. 2019
PER
Persela
0 - 0
Persija
PER
31%
27%
42%
51 61 10 +1
27 May. 2019
ARE
Arema FC
3 - 2
Persela
PER
70%
18%
12%
52 62 10 -1
22 May. 2019
PER
Persela
2 - 2
Persipura
PER
35%
26%
39%
52 57 5 0
17 May. 2019
PER
Persela
1 - 5
Madura United
MAD
37%
27%
36%
53 58 5 -1