Rio Cup . Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Pérolas Negras vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 2
PER
15%
18%
67%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
PER
3 - 0
CIG
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 1
PER
25%
22%
52%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
RES
0 - 1
PER
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
RES
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 2
AME
55%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
AME
2 - 1
BOA
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
AME
2 - 0
CEC
74%
15%
11%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |