Perly-Certoux vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 3
PER
40%
24%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PER
0 - 2
TER
23%
23%
55%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
PER
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PER
5 - 0
MON
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SIE
2 - 3
PER
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
BAV
2 - 0
COL
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BAV
3 - 1
FCO
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
TER
3 - 1
BAV
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAV
0 - 2
SER
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 5
BAV
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |