Pergolettese vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
58%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
OLB
1 - 2
PER
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 1
PER
43%
27%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
FCS
31%
27%
41%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
PER
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PER
0 - 0
COM
29%
27%
44%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
USA
1 - 0
USI
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
COM
0 - 0
USA
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
USA
5 - 4
POL
78%
16%
7%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 0
USA
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PAV
1 - 1
USA
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |