Penydarren BGC vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
60.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penydarren BGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
PON
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 3
PTA
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
SGA
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 3
CWM
32%
21%
47%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
PON
27%
26%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAR
24%
23%
54%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLA
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 4
CAR
13%
17%
70%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 1
CAR
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |