Penybont vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CEF
2 - 3
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAE
20%
22%
59%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAR
44%
23%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
PEN
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 2
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |