Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 1
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
0 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
55%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ABE
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CEF
2 - 2
ABE
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
0 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
5 - 3
AIR
63%
20%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
ABE
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |