Penya Encarnada vs Atlètic Amèrica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
5º
11
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCO
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
SCO
25%
22%
54%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 0
PEN
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 0
PEN
33%
22%
45%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 3
PEN
20%
20%
61%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlètic Amèrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
AME
64%
19%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 2
AME
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
UES
6 - 0
AME
75%
18%
8%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AME
1 - 3
CAR
37%
23%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AME
0 - 3
INT
8%
17%
76%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |