Penya Ciutadella vs Santa Catalina Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UDA
0 - 2
PCE
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 3
CLL
50%
24%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 2
PCE
34%
26%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PCE
2 - 2
ALC
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CON
5 - 2
PCE
64%
21%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Catalina Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CLL
4 - 3
STA
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
ALC
31%
27%
43%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PBL
1 - 0
STA
67%
20%
14%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
MER
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SDF
3 - 2
STA
67%
21%
12%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |