Penya Ciutadella vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
63.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PXD
3 - 0
PCE
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PCE
0 - 2
SRF
23%
25%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MER
0 - 2
PCE
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PCE
2 - 0
CDS
40%
25%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
UDR
0 - 0
PCE
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PBL
1 - 0
CFP
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
STA
3 - 2
PBL
13%
22%
65%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PBL
7 - 0
CLL
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
SRF
1 - 0
PBL
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FLN
0 - 1
PBL
13%
22%
64%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |