Penya Arrabal vs Génova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
0 - 1
PEN
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 1
FRR
31%
26%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 3
PEN
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 0
ART
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
PEN
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Génova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 1
XIL
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
CFP
2 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 1
SHO
38%
24%
37%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
PLA
3 - 0
GEN
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 1
FRR
47%
23%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |