Penrith AFC vs West Auckland Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 2
PEN
13%
19%
68%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
5 - 3
WHI
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 1
SEA
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 4
BTF
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
West Auckland Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
WES
2 - 0
CEL
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
RAF
3 - 1
WES
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -3 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 6
WES
8%
15%
77%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 1
WES
81%
13%
7%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
WES
2 - 1
NEW
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |