Penrith AFC vs Consett AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SEA
2 - 1
PEN
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 0
PEN
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
WHI
2 - 1
PEN
52%
21%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
BRF
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
TOW
1 - 5
PEN
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Consett AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 2
CON
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KEN
1 - 4
CON
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
ALN
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
TOW
0 - 8
CON
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
SIL
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |