Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
12º
11º
56
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
COS
1 - 0
PEN
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TPE
0 - 0
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
FOL
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MUR
2 - 4
PEN
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
SGI
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 2
LIB
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TPE
2 - 1
TFI
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
TFI
2 - 2
CAI
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 2
TFI
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TFI
4 - 0
FAE
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |