Pennarossa vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
12º
11º
29
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 0
PEN
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
FAE
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 1
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 0
CAI
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TFI
2 - 0
PEN
74%
17%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 2
FAE
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 1
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 0
FOL
23%
25%
53%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COS
4 - 0
JUV
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
TPE
7%
17%
77%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |