Pennarossa vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
54.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
10%
20%
71%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
COS
4 - 0
PEN
84%
11%
4%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 1
PEN
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TPE
0 - 0
PEN
84%
12%
5%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
FOL
14%
20%
66%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAE
3 - 2
SMA
72%
15%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 0
FAE
65%
18%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 1
PEN
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FIO
7 - 1
FAE
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 4
TPE
10%
17%
74%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |