Peninsula Power vs Wynnum Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+175%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
11º
3º
35
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
QUE
3 - 1
PEN
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RED
0 - 4
PEN
14%
17%
68%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 4
PEN
33%
22%
45%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wynnum Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
WYN
3 - 5
GCK
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WYN
0 - 7
QUE
10%
14%
76%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
RED
0 - 1
WYN
68%
16%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WYN
0 - 4
MOR
14%
16%
70%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 3
WYN
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |