Peninsula Power vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.3%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LOG
0 - 3
PEN
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 2
ROC
53%
22%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 5
PEN
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 3
PEN
60%
20%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
4 - 0
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | -2 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
QUE
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 0
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
4 - 0
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 5
ROC
7%
14%
79%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 0
BRI
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |