Peninsula Power vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 4
PEN
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 4
PEN
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 0
EAS
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 3
ROC
57%
20%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 3
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 0
BRI
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 4
LOG
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
WOL
7 - 1
LOG
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 1
EAS
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CAP
5 - 2
LOG
71%
16%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |