Peniche U19 vs Loures U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
8º
7º
13
7º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RSC
4 - 0
PEN
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
SAC
82%
11%
6%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CDF
1 - 1
PEN
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
6 - 0
EST
88%
9%
4%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
EPO
2 - 2
PEN
29%
22%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Loures U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 0
LOU
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 0
EPO
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 3
UDL
22%
21%
58%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RSC
2 - 0
LOU
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
RSC
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |