Peñarol vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 3
PEÑ
15%
23%
61%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
ATT
1 - 0
PEÑ
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 1
PEÑ
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
LIB
50%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
STR
5 - 1
OPE
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
OPE
0 - 1
STR
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
STR
1 - 3
LIB
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ATT
3 - 0
STR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
STR
3 - 0
SBW
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |