Peñarol vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1981 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
POR
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
BVS
0 - 0
PEÑ
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EST
0 - 2
PEÑ
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
POR
0 - 1
PEÑ
22%
29%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
BVS
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1981 |
BVS
3 - 1
EST
67%
18%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EST
0 - 2
PEÑ
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 4
BVS
52%
22%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |