Peñarol vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 0
PEÑ
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CER
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 2
PEÑ
17%
22%
62%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RIV
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FEN
4 - 3
PEÑ
18%
22%
59%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
RAC
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MWA
0 - 0
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 2
NAC
30%
27%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
CEN
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
ETS
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |