Peñarol AC vs Plácido de Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
CUI
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -3 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
NAC
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 0
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 0
CUI
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLA
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
PLA
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 1
RIO
13%
17%
70%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +2 |