Penapolense vs Batatais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
XVD
34%
28%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
AGU
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 1
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
FER
4 - 0
BAT
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAT
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
3 - 1
MAT
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 2
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |