Penamaior vs Estrelas de Fânzeres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
64.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penamaior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TPR
2 - 1
PEN
63%
19%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
BOU
11%
18%
72%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 1
PEN
46%
23%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
RAM
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estrelas de Fânzeres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EFA
4 - 0
LSE
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 2
EFA
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TPR
2 - 1
EFA
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
EFA
0 - 1
BOU
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |