Penafiel vs Vitória SC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
PEN
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
PEN
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
PEN
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VSC
0 - 1
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 3
VSC
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VSC
1 - 0
LEX
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
OLH
3 - 1
VSC
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VSC
1 - 2
FAM
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |