Penafiel vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OLH
2 - 1
PEN
38%
29%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
LEX
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 0
OLH
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 0
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEX
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SCF
1 - 1
VAR
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
FAM
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
VAR
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
VAR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |