Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LEX
1 - 0
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
VSC
1 - 1
PEN
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
BEN
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
GFC
2 - 1
PEN
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 0
SAN
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
GFC
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
COV
3 - 2
OLI
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 2
SCP
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 2
OLI
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
REA
1 - 0
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |