Penafiel vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
PEN
53%
26%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 1
PEN
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
VST
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
PEN
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
PAÇ
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 1
CHL
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GFC
0 - 4
SCP
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEL
67%
21%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |