Penafiel vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 2
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
POR
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
FCP
4 - 0
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 1
PEN
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 1
FAR
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 2
SCP
18%
23%
59%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
SCP
3 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
SCP
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
35%
26%
40%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |