Penafiel vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 1
PEN
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 0
OLI
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 1
SCP
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VSC
2 - 4
PEN
28%
30%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 1
OLI
42%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
SCP
3 - 1
BMA
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
SCP
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 1
SCP
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 1
POR
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
LEX
1 - 3
SCP
50%
27%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |