Penafiel vs SC Freamunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
LEX
2 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
TRO
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
VST
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
PEN
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAT
52%
28%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freamunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 0
MOR
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
SCF
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SCF
0 - 0
VAR
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
SCF
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SCF
0 - 1
GFC
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |