Penafiel vs Porto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FAM
2 - 0
PEN
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 2
ARO
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 0
PEN
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
PEN
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
MOR
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
FAR
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
EST
4 - 0
POR
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
GFC
2 - 1
POR
26%
23%
51%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
POR
14%
20%
66%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ONT
1 - 5
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |