Penafiel vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 0
PEN
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
BRA
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
PEN
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
FAM
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 0
COV
71%
20%
9%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
COV
0 - 1
VSC
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
SCP
2 - 1
COV
62%
21%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
COV
3 - 0
ARO
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
GFC
1 - 2
COV
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |